Note on the probability of century

This is mostly for myself so that I have something to refer to in future. In the previous post I skipped some algebra and gave a formula for the probability of a century, given a hazard function which is 3/(avg+3) on nought and 1/(avg+3) for all scores greater than nought. The algebra I originally posted was slightly wrong (I have corrected it in the second edit), but could have been simplified. The probability of a…

"Note on the probability of century"